Why America Is Loosing the Industry & Marketing Battle, A Layman's Point of View
A
popular movie of a few years back called “The Field of Dreams”
had a key line that said, “Build it, they will come” The auto
industry needs to take a hard look at that movie and realize in their
case the saying is. “Build it, they will buy it.” The auto
industry has lost sight of its roots. Henry Ford is supposed to have
said. “They can have any color car they want. As long as it is
black!” Ford’s philosophy of building cars was to build them as
quickly and cheaply as possible. It is a philosophy that is still
working. It is the philosophy of Wal-Mart, the largest retailer in
America and Mc Donalds
Wal-Mart
is expanding around the whole world with that simple philosophy. Why
am I talking about Wal-Mart when this article is about the big three?
Really it is pretty simple. It is all about competition. All business
is about competition and winning is about knowing how to play the
game. Wal-Mart has entered the Chinese market and many others. Yet
other American companies are on the verge of collapse. As a retired
trucker I have delivered goods to both Wal-Mart and some of their
chief competitors. There is no comparison between them and say
K-Mart. I know this from my experiences. To make my point a couple
quick examples will show what I am talking about.
One
time delivering to a distribution center for K-Mart in the Detroit
area a question arose about the product on my truck. First they felt
they may not want the product as they might have too much in stock
already. The person in charge sent a runner to check and see if they
had the product in stock. Twenty minutes later the runner came back.
He told the person in charge they had x number of cases of the
product. The person in charge then asked if the product was red or
blue. The runner left again and after about thirty minutes came back
and said they had blue. Fortunately for me, I had red, and they took
my load. That killed the better part of hour.
At
a Wal-Mart distribution center it would have been done by radio and
maybe took two to three minutes. K-Mart is a union warehouse.
Wal-Mart is not a union warehouse. Is it a union problem? I do not
think so. It is a management problem. Radios cost, but then again
they are cost effective. Wal-Mart could improve in some areas also. I
spent my years in the Army working in aerial supply. We supplied by
parachute to troops in the field. Making things happen when and
how they are supposed to takes team work. Management and labor need
to understand they are teammates not competitors. Good managers are
into motivation and innovation. They are not into confrontation and
elimination.
Getting
back on track the problems in the automotive industry from my
perspective are mainly a management problem. Management makes the
leadership decisions and labor is supposed to follow. There is one
small problem with the system. Sometimes people working in the
industry cannot see the forest for the trees. The focus tends to be
on the problems and not on the solutions.
Before
I started hauling for the automotive industry I wondered how the
automotive industry could justify selling their products for so much.
However by the time I finished hauling automotive parts I wondered
how they could sell them so cheap. What changed was my perspective.
Originally I was on the outside. After becoming involved with the
system, some of the problems were a lot easier to see.
One
of the first things I noticed was that Labor had an attitude that
Management’s goal was to get rid of them. Or at a minimum cut
their paychecks and benefits. They did not see management as leaders
trying to compete in a very competitive market. Management was
viewed as a threat to their personal security and well being.
Management’s attitude seemed to be that labor is a cost to be
controlled and eliminated if possible. However without each other
nothing gets done and both will become part of the rank and file
unemployed.
With
the history behind the automotive industry it is easy to understand
some of the points of view. Yet in today’s markets the attitudes
need to change. Labor will not be the only ones without a job.
It will be the whole industry and supporting industries. You can not
manage or work for a company that ceases to exist. History shows us
plainly that companies that do not learn to compete cease to exist.
It is the nature of industry. Just as the livery stables, of the
past, ceased to exist. So have many car makers. Studebaker, Packard,
Hudson and American Motors are just a few examples that have
disappeared in my own life time. They could not keep up with the
competition. Even the makers who survived have dumped models that
either were no longer competitive or did not meet changing market
demands. Most people have heard of the Pinto, Vega, Chevette or
Maverick just to name a few. Millions of these cars were made but
when is the last time you saw one? These last cars were made to meet
a market demand created by the Arab Oil Embargo of 1973. They fell
apart about as fast as Arab hopes of controlling the worlds oil
markets.
When
the crisis of the moment was past attitudes and markets changed back.
The demand for the pony cars and barges, my children’s nickname for
cars made in the fifties and sixties, resumed. People adapted to the
higher fuel prices after the embargo. American production followed
what they perceived market demand to be. When another Energy Crisis
hit in the late 90’s the foreign manufacturers changed their
product lines. American manufacturers felt it was a glitch and that
Americans would pay any price for fuel and continued to slop the
market with the gas hogs they produced.
Little
did anyone perceive the perfect financial storm brewing just over the
horizon. The fact that not one of the major manufacturers understood
where the market was headed says a lot about the lack of leadership.
Both the American industrial and the financial markets in general
missed the boat. To say they were blindsided would be a major
understatement. The blinders worn by American automotive management
were as effective as the ones worn by horses before the advent of the
automobile.
The
arrival in Washington, DC on their private jets, with their hands
out, underscored the complete oblivion of management to the reality
of the situation. The real sad part is that no one seemed to realize
that it was too little to late. Dealerships were and still are
flooded with inventory they can not move. They have no alternatives
to offer the buying public. A long and perhaps terminal slump is not
only possible it is inevitable. Why is it inevitable? It is because
the manufacturers and the financial institutions failed to realize
there is one key ingredient in the financial markets they do not
understand. The leadership got sidetracked from the idea of
making automobiles. They no longer cared about
making money from the manufacturing part of their industry.
The
financial arms of the companies were the part of the company
generating the income. They were not interested in the adage
about keeping the customer happy. They were more interested in
keeping them fleeced with extended terms and upside down loans. They
failed to understand the little guy. They do not understand what
greases the wheels of commerce. It is not big business. It is not the
bottom line. It is also not slick advertising. It is demand. What
they do not understand is that the little guy when it comes to
protecting what he has is very conservative, regardless of how
liberal of a society we live in.
When the average little guy feels threatened he is going to hold on
to what he has at all costs. So you can proclaim your rosy scenario
all you want. Till the little guy feels he has room to breathe he is
holding on to what he has. The wheels of commerce will not get
greased. Things will slowly grind to a halt. You can talk till your
blue in the face. The more you talk the tighter his grip will get.
When he sees everybody getting laid off, do not tell him sunny days
are just ahead. All anyone can do is wait till the little guy feels
secure enough to loosen his grip.
There
is one other factor that the big three do not seem to get. The days
of “Buy American” are over. Even some communities are buying
foreign cars these days. The attitude moving the market is to buy the
best value you can get for your dollar. I was always a “Buy
American” person. I spent ten years overseas serving this country
and was and am proud to be an American. However I also realize I live
in a global market place. Some of the best stuff out there is not
American. I have purchased two new cars in my lifetime. A 1992 Dodge
Colt which had over 200,000 miles on it when I gave it to my niece.
It got awesome mileage and was stone dependable. Many friends and
family had purchased and bragged on them. So why did I buy a
2008 Honda? For the very same reason I bought the Colt. Good
feedback and research that showed 200,000+ was the norm and not the
exception. Yet I still consider myself a Ford person and my second
car is a Ford. So why didn’t I buy a Ford. The people I know and
trust and the research I did told me the longest lasting and most
economical, hence the best value, was what I bought. Not necessarily
what I wanted. I might like how I look in a tuxedo and it might make
me feel good but, it is not very practical for a work outfit.
So
what can be done to save the American automotive industry? Well the
status quo definitely is not the answer to the problem. At the start
of this article I made a statement of fact. It may have sounded
strange but it took working for, or with the automotive industry to
say it with all honesty. Before I hauled automotive parts I
could not see how they could justify charging so much for their
cars. However after hauling parts I could not see how they can
sell them so cheap. The next couple paragraphs will give people who
are not familiar with the industry a little insight that may help
them see what I am trying to say.
My
introduction to the automotive industry was hauling brake rotors. It
would seem like a very simple part to make. That should be the case
but we are dealing with the automotive industry. Therefore nothing is
as simple as it should be. My experience started in Danville,
Illinois. This is actually the second or third step for the rotor. It
depends on how you count steps. The raw materials had to be bought to
the facility where I picked up the fresh castings. Step two or three
depending how you count handling the raw materials
After several
hours of sitting and waiting. It was my turn to back
into the loading dock. The parts were loaded on my truck. Once
loaded I had about six hours to get the parts to the next plant or
step in the process. Which was a heat treatment plant in
Lansing, Michigan. At this point I should explain a concept
created by American industry which could be amazing if it worked
properly all the time. The concept is “Just in Time” delivery. I
would not explain it except to understand the solution you need to
know what needs to be fixed.
Basically
it is a concept that inventory should not sit around on shelves or in
storage bins. The item should arrive just in time to be processed or
utilized. This is based on the concept that inventory is money. Money
not being utilized is money wasted. A fine concept until you start
moving almost empty trucks to meet unrealistic deadlines. Suddenly
you are using three, four or five trucks to do the job one truck
could have done. Each truck used adds to the cost because each one
costs for its use. This concept is not limited to the automotive
industry unfortunately.
Time
to get back on track, upon arrival the parts are unloaded and sent
thru a heat treating process which takes several hours. At this point
the truck either returns to Danville or moves parts to the next step
in processing. To keep me moving they load parts, that have already
been processed, onto my truck from a previous delivery. Then I head
to Dayton, Ohio to a machining plant. As the point here is to show
what happens in the car building process. I will just
explain the transpotation process. In Dayton the parts are
machined. The rotors then go to another plant in central Ohio where
the machining process is finished. The next step is to go to a plant
where parts are added to the rotors to make them ready for assembly.
The process nears an end on arrival at the plant where they are
mounted on a hub or axle assembly. Finally they are hauled
to another plant. There they are actually built
into a hub or axle assembly. The assembled parts are hauled to an
auto assembly plant. Finally all the components come together in the
form of a finished car. The car is then hauled to a
dealership. Each rotor may have one thousand to three thousand miles
of travel by the time the process is finished and it reaches a
dealership.
Multiply
this process by the multitude of parts on a car. It could
easily have over a hundred thousand miles on it before the dealer
gives you the keys. So what is this whole process about? Well
principally it is about busting the unions. The whole process could
be done at the final assembly plant. That was how Henry Ford intended
it to be. The idea of outsourcing the work was definitely not his
idea. How do I know this? From studying the issue. When Ford started
his company he gave up a ten per cent interest in his company to a
couple brothers who ran a machine shop. For two thousand shares he
received seven thousand dollars in parts and three thousand dollars
in cash. The brothers who helped him get started were known as the
Dodge brothers.
Several
years later Ford paid twelve thousand five hundred dollars a share to
regain control of that ten percent of his company. Shares he
originally gave up for five dollars each. The reason he wanted the
control back was that he had built his own machining plant and no
longer needed the service of the Dodge brothers. His goal was to cut
cost doing everything in house. Of course it is not hard to guess
what the Dodge bothers did with their windfall profit. One other
point to note is that Ford paid his employees well enough that they
would be able to purchase a car of their own. He understood the
concept of marketing and what drives it. Something the present
leadership has lost sight of.
It
is already effecting people outside the automotive industry. The
scrap industry has tanked as the demand for steel and aluminum has
dried up. Soda pop cans that were recycling for sixty eight cents a
pound are now down to twenty cents a pound. That means the homeless
person who takes his bag of cans to turn in and uses the money to buy
a five dollar meal at a fast food restaurant is really hurting. Where
he had to get seven pounds to eat which is about one hundred and
forty cans. Now he has to get twenty five pounds of cans. What makes
that worse is that the people who used to pitch their cans are now
saving them.
The
problem is not all managements fault. Labor, unions in particular,
have short comings also. In the course of my life I held two union
jobs. One job in construction and the other in trucking, however my
goal was to be self employed, so maybe I have a biased point of view.
Fortunately I worked for two smaller union companies with good
management who operated with the team concept. Most of the people I
worked with had a good American work ethic. Unfortunately the ones
who didn’t were usually the most active union supporters. At the
construction job I watched a young worker give up an almost twenty
dollar an hour job over seventy five cents. The union said he should
get twenty five cents more and hour. He stood on his principals. I
probably would not remember it except I lived near him and saw the
suffering his wife and children went through. Everybody on the job
liked the kid including the employer. It was early April and the
employer told the kid he had a job all season if he wanted it, but
the employer failed to pay him an extra twenty five cents and hour
for three hours of running a jack hammer. The kid filed a grievance
and got his seventy five cents, but he lost the job. The employer’s
attitude was that labor was labor and as a laborer it did not matter
what you did as long as you did it. About twenty of us with less
principals worked continually till early December. Who was right?
Living
in close proximity to a foreign car plant and knowing many people who
have worked there I understand they have their share of problems
also. The foreign companies have an anti labor attitude also. However
theirs could better be described as a pro company attitude. It is
almost a kamikaze attitude toward winning. The congressman who noted
that most of the foreign car companies are in the south and the civil
war is still going on by different means was not far off the mark.
Actually the foreign makers target economically depressed areas with
large labor pools. The foreign companies are still at war with us, we
beat them militarily but the war is being continued economically and
that is the weapon they have chosen to continue the battle. Divide
and conquer is one of the oldest rules of warfare. Goliath did not
lose to David because he lacked the ability to defeat him. He lost
because he did not appreciate the skills of his enemy. Another way of
saying it is, “It is not about the size of the dog in the fight,
but about the size of the fight in the dog.”
Economic
wars are won by beating your enemy at their own game and taking over
the best markets. The absolute best market battlefield in the world
is the United States. The proof that it is warfare is the present
market situation. If the foreign companies wanted they could buy up
the American companies for pennies on the dollar. They do not want
them though for two reasons. One is their perception of the problems
with the union labor and the other is they would rather put the
competition out of business.
So
if the American automobile manufacturers want to survive they had
better rethink their game. Building cars with longer tailpipes is not
the solution. In France a company is building an air powered car that
runs seventy miles per hour with a range of one hundred and twenty
miles. It uses no fuel. The power source is compressed air. If that
compressor is run buy a bank of batteries, which in turn, are charged
by solar panels or windmills a true green machine would is
possible.
All
the necessary technology is already available. America
could break its dependence on foreign oil and fight global warming at
the same time. Of course it will take a complete change in
attitude of the entire American automotive industry. They will need
to rethink the process from building a better product for the money
and at a better price. That will take true leadership and insight and
a step away from the status quo. The only question is does America
have the will to win the fight. If the present attitudes remain the
same maybe we will have a chance to discuss it while we are in the
soup lines.
A minor postscript. Pop cans made it back up to over sixty cents a pound for a while. However as the market is hedging and the question of a double dip hangs in the air. The price is back down to the forty three cents per pound level. Guess I will have to get more excercise to fill my bucket and buy dinner. Hope Congress gets off their hands and do something. There are plenty of things they could do. However that would require a display of common will and common sense and those things do not exist in Washington anymore.
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